Read the following statement carefully and identify the conclusion that follows. Statement: The city experienced its worst rainfall in 50 years. Conclusions: I. The city's drainage systems may have failed. II. Such rainfall occurs regularly.
- (a)Only Conclusion I follows
- (b)Only Conclusion II follows
- (c)Both I and II follow
- (d)Neither I nor II follows
Answer
Why
Correct — A.
Rule: a conclusion must fit the statement; one that contradicts it cannot follow.
I: record rainfall can overwhelm drains, and I claims only that they may have failed. Follows.
II: 'worst in 50 years' marks the rainfall as rare. 'Occurs regularly' says the opposite. Does not follow.
I alone → option (a).
Why the others are wrong
- (b)Only Conclusion II follows — It accepts II, which the statement contradicts: the worst rainfall in 50 years is not a regular event. It also rejects I, a possibility the record rain supports.
- (c)Both I and II follow — It includes II, which 'worst in 50 years' rules out. Rainfall this rare cannot also occur regularly.
- (d)Neither I nor II follows — It rejects I, but I claims only that the drains may have failed, a possibility that record rainfall makes reasonable.
Concept
Statement–conclusion items ask what can be drawn from the statement alone, without outside facts. A conclusion that contradicts the statement never follows.
Watch the strength of each conclusion. 'May have failed' asks only for a possibility, which the worst rainfall in half a century supports. 'Occurs regularly' is a firm claim, and 'worst in 50 years' says the reverse.
Strictly, the statement says nothing about drains. Conclusion I passes because it claims only a possibility, and the key accepts that reading.
Key facts
- 'Worst in 50 years' means the rainfall is rare, not regular.
- 'May have failed' states a possibility, not a fact.
Study next
Common traps
- Reading 'in 50 years' as 'every 50 years', which makes the rainfall sound regular
- Rejecting I because the statement never mentions drains, when I claims only a possibility
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