Read the following statement carefully and identify the conclusion that follows. Statement: Most farmers in the region depend on monsoon rains for irrigation. Conclusions: I. The region does not have proper irrigation infrastructure. II. A weak monsoon may reduce agricultural output.
- (a)Only Conclusion I follows
- (b)Only Conclusion II follows
- (c)Both I and II follow
- (d)Neither I nor II follows
Answer
Why
Correct — B.
Rule: a conclusion must follow from the statement alone, with no cause or fact added.
II follows: if most farmers need monsoon rain to water their crops, a weak monsoon leaves most farms short of water. The word may keeps the claim within what the statement supports.
I does not follow: the statement says farmers depend on rain, not why. Poor infrastructure is one possible reason, but the statement never gives it.
Only II → option (b).
Why the others are wrong
- (a)Only Conclusion I follows — Conclusion I guesses a cause the statement never gives. Farmers may rely on rain for many reasons, and this option also leaves out II, which does follow.
- (c)Both I and II follow — Both fails because I adds a reason, poor irrigation infrastructure, that the statement does not state. Only the consequence in II follows.
- (d)Neither I nor II follows — Neither misses II. If most farms depend on monsoon rain, a weak monsoon may cut output, and that hedged consequence follows directly.
Concept
In a statement-and-conclusion item, accept only what the statement forces. Ask two questions of each conclusion.
Is it a consequence of what is stated? II is: dependence on rain means less rain can mean a smaller harvest, and may keeps it modest. Does it add a cause the statement never gives? I does: the statement says farmers depend on rain, not why they do.
The statement says most farmers, not all. II still follows, because it says output may fall, not that every farm will fail.
Key facts
- A conclusion must follow from the statement without outside facts.
- A hedged conclusion (may reduce) claims less than a definite one (will reduce), so it needs less support.
- A statement of dependence does not tell you the reason for that dependence.
Study next
Common traps
- Accepting Conclusion I because poor irrigation is a familiar real-world explanation
- Rejecting II because may sounds too uncertain to count as a conclusion
15 Sep 2025, 12:30, Reasoning Q.11 uses the same frame and options on a library open from 9 AM to 5 PM, and also keys Only Conclusion II.
19 Sep 2025, 09:00, Reasoning Q.13 keys Only Conclusion I on crude-oil imports, rejecting All oil consumed in India is imported, because large quantities is not all.
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